Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
The model gives Sparta Praha a 64% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Lillestrøm 15%. Sparta Praha's chance of going through is 86% now: a win would take it to 93%, a defeat to 67%. Lillestrøm's chance of going through is 14% now: a win would take it to 35%, a defeat to 9%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Sparta Praha: top 8 | Sparta Praha: through | Lillestrøm: top 8 | Lillestrøm: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 23% | 86% | <1% | 14% |
| Sparta Praha win | 30% | 93% | <1% | 9% |
| Draw | 14% | 79% | <1% | 15% |
| Lillestrøm win | 8% | 67% | 1% | 35% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm?
The model gives Sparta Praha a 64% chance of winning. A draw has a 21% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–0 (12%), followed by 2–0 (12%).
What does this match mean for Sparta Praha?
Sparta Praha currently have a 86% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
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