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Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň: what's at stake in the Europa League?

← Europa League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00

Ferencváros6th, 3 pts
–Matchday 2
Viktoria Plzeň34th, 0 pts
49%Ferencváros win
25%Draw
26%Viktoria Plzeň win

The model gives Ferencváros a 49% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Viktoria Plzeň 26%. Ferencváros's chance of going through is 88% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 75%. Viktoria Plzeň's chance of going through is 45% now: a win would take it to 69%, a defeat to 31%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Ferencváros: top 8Ferencváros: throughViktoria Plzeň: top 8Viktoria Plzeň: through
Now26%88%3%45%
Ferencváros win37%96%1%31%
Draw19%85%2%45%
Viktoria Plzeň win11%75%8%69%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%

Frequently asked questions

Who is favourite in Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň?

The model gives Ferencváros a 49% chance of winning. A draw has a 25% chance.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (11%).

What does this match mean for Ferencváros?

Ferencváros currently have a 88% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.

When is Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň played?

Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 2).

Other matchday 2 fixtures