Celje vs Omonia: what's at stake in the Europa League?
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Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
The model gives Celje a 42% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Omonia 32%. Celje's chance of going through is 39% now: a win would take it to 56%, a defeat to 21%. Omonia's chance of going through is 49% now: a win would take it to 73%, a defeat to 33%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Celje: top 8 | Celje: through | Omonia: top 8 | Omonia: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 39% | 4% | 49% |
| Celje win | 5% | 56% | 1% | 33% |
| Draw | 1% | 32% | 3% | 47% |
| Omonia win | 1% | 21% | 9% | 73% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Celje vs Omonia?
The model gives Celje a 42% chance of winning. A draw has a 26% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (11%).
What does this match mean for Celje?
Celje currently have a 39% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Celje vs Omonia played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
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- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
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- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
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- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
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- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş