Lech Poznań vs Leverkusen: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
The model gives Lech Poznań a 16% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Leverkusen 62%. Lech Poznań's chance of going through is 27% now: a win would take it to 53%, a defeat to 20%. Leverkusen's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 96%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Lech Poznań: top 8 | Lech Poznań: through | Leverkusen: top 8 | Leverkusen: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1% | 27% | 74% | 99% |
| Lech Poznań win | 5% | 53% | 52% | 96% |
| Draw | 1% | 30% | 65% | 99% |
| Leverkusen win | <1% | 20% | 83% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Lech Poznań vs Leverkusen?
The model gives Leverkusen a 62% chance of winning. A draw has a 21% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 0–1 (12%), followed by 0–2 (11%).
What does this match mean for Lech Poznań?
Lech Poznań currently have a 27% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Lech Poznań vs Leverkusen played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
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- Salzburg – Milan
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- Union SG – Real Sociedad
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- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
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- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
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- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş