Lyon vs Crystal Palace: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
The model gives Lyon a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Crystal Palace 30%. Lyon's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 90%. Crystal Palace's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 92%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Lyon: top 8 | Lyon: through | Crystal Palace: top 8 | Crystal Palace: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 46% | 95% | 46% | 95% |
| Lyon win | 63% | 99% | 33% | 92% |
| Draw | 40% | 94% | 44% | 95% |
| Crystal Palace win | 27% | 90% | 67% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives Lyon a 44% chance of winning. A draw has a 26% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (11%).
What does this match mean for Lyon?
Lyon currently have a 95% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Lyon vs Crystal Palace played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
- Benfica – Celtic
- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş