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Torreense vs Sunderland: what's at stake in the Europa League?

← Europa League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45

Torreense11th, 3 pts
–Matchday 2
Sunderland16th, 3 pts
26%Torreense win
25%Draw
49%Sunderland win

The model gives Torreense a 26% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Sunderland 49%. Torreense's chance of going through is 65% now: a win would take it to 86%, a defeat to 53%. Sunderland's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 88%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Torreense: top 8Torreense: throughSunderland: top 8Sunderland: through
Now8%65%45%95%
Torreense win19%86%24%88%
Draw7%65%37%94%
Sunderland win3%53%60%99%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%

Frequently asked questions

Who is favourite in Torreense vs Sunderland?

The model gives Sunderland a 49% chance of winning. A draw has a 25% chance.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 0–1 (11%).

What does this match mean for Torreense?

Torreense currently have a 65% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.

When is Torreense vs Sunderland played?

Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Europa League, matchday 2).

Other matchday 2 fixtures