Marseille vs Olympiacos: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
The model gives Marseille a 47% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Olympiacos 28%. Marseille's chance of going through is 81% now: a win would take it to 91%, a defeat to 66%. Olympiacos's chance of going through is 92% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 88%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Marseille: top 8 | Marseille: through | Olympiacos: top 8 | Olympiacos: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 18% | 81% | 37% | 92% |
| Marseille win | 29% | 91% | 25% | 88% |
| Draw | 12% | 77% | 37% | 93% |
| Olympiacos win | 6% | 66% | 59% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Marseille vs Olympiacos?
The model gives Marseille a 47% chance of winning. A draw has a 26% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (11%).
What does this match mean for Marseille?
Marseille currently have a 81% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Marseille vs Olympiacos played?
Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
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