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Rennes vs OFI Crete: what's at stake in the Europa League?

← Europa League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00

Rennes17th, 1 pts
–Matchday 2
OFI Crete9th, 3 pts
63%Rennes win
21%Draw
16%OFI Crete win

The model gives Rennes a 63% chance of winning, a draw 21% and OFI Crete 16%. Rennes's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 90%, a defeat to 62%. OFI Crete's chance of going through is 56% now: a win would take it to 83%, a defeat to 47%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Rennes: top 8Rennes: throughOFI Crete: top 8OFI Crete: through
Now21%82%5%56%
Rennes win27%90%2%47%
Draw11%74%5%61%
OFI Crete win6%62%15%83%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

Frequently asked questions

Who is favourite in Rennes vs OFI Crete?

The model gives Rennes a 63% chance of winning. A draw has a 21% chance.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely exact score is 1–0 (12%), followed by 2–0 (11%).

What does this match mean for Rennes?

Rennes currently have a 82% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.

When is Rennes vs OFI Crete played?

Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 2).

Other matchday 2 fixtures