Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
The model gives Bournemouth a 62% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Sturm Graz 16%. Bournemouth's chance of going through is 98% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 93%. Sturm Graz's chance of going through is 53% now: a win would take it to 79%, a defeat to 44%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Bournemouth: top 8 | Bournemouth: through | Sturm Graz: top 8 | Sturm Graz: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 62% | 98% | 5% | 53% |
| Bournemouth win | 72% | 99% | 2% | 44% |
| Draw | 50% | 97% | 5% | 58% |
| Sturm Graz win | 37% | 93% | 15% | 79% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz?
The model gives Bournemouth a 62% chance of winning. A draw has a 21% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–0 (12%), followed by 2–0 (11%).
What does this match mean for Bournemouth?
Bournemouth currently have a 98% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz played?
Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
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