Union SG vs Real Sociedad: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
The model gives Union SG a 45% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Real Sociedad 29%. Union SG's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 89%. Real Sociedad's chance of going through is 68% now: a win would take it to 86%, a defeat to 56%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Union SG: top 8 | Union SG: through | Real Sociedad: top 8 | Real Sociedad: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 45% | 95% | 9% | 68% |
| Union SG win | 61% | 99% | 3% | 56% |
| Draw | 38% | 95% | 7% | 69% |
| Real Sociedad win | 26% | 89% | 20% | 86% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Union SG vs Real Sociedad?
The model gives Union SG a 45% chance of winning. A draw has a 26% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (11%).
What does this match mean for Union SG?
Union SG currently have a 95% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Union SG vs Real Sociedad played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
- Benfica – Celtic
- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş