Celta vs Juventus: what's at stake in the Europa League?
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Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
The model gives Celta a 25% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Juventus 50%. Celta's chance of going through is 62% now: a win would take it to 84%, a defeat to 51%. Juventus's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 99%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Celta: top 8 | Celta: through | Juventus: top 8 | Juventus: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 8% | 62% | 82% | 99% |
| Celta win | 19% | 84% | 67% | 99% |
| Draw | 7% | 64% | 78% | 99% |
| Juventus win | 3% | 51% | 91% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Celta vs Juventus?
The model gives Juventus a 50% chance of winning. A draw has a 25% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 0–1 (11%).
What does this match mean for Celta?
Celta currently have a 62% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Celta vs Juventus played?
Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Benfica – Celtic
- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş