Benfica vs Celtic: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
The model gives Benfica a 66% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Celtic 14%. Benfica's top-8 chance is 86% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 69%. Celtic's chance of going through is 46% now: a win would take it to 72%, a defeat to 39%. The most likely score is 2–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Benfica: top 8 | Benfica: through | Celtic: top 8 | Celtic: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 86% | >99% | 4% | 46% |
| Benfica win | 92% | >99% | 2% | 39% |
| Draw | 78% | 99% | 4% | 51% |
| Celtic win | 69% | 99% | 12% | 72% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Benfica vs Celtic?
The model gives Benfica a 66% chance of winning. A draw has a 20% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 2–0 (12%), followed by 1–0 (12%).
What does this match mean for Benfica?
Benfica currently have a >99% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Benfica vs Celtic played?
Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
- Rennes – OFI Crete
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş