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N.E.C. Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia: what's at stake in the Europa League?

← Europa League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00

N.E.C. Nijmegen36th, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
Levski Sofia27th, 0 pts
55%N.E.C. Nijmegen win
24%Draw
21%Levski Sofia win

The model gives N.E.C. Nijmegen a 55% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Levski Sofia 21%. N.E.C. Nijmegen's chance of going through is 61% now: a win would take it to 73%, a defeat to 38%. Levski Sofia's chance of going through is 22% now: a win would take it to 46%, a defeat to 13%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

N.E.C. Nijmegen: top 8N.E.C. Nijmegen: throughLevski Sofia: top 8Levski Sofia: through
Now8%61%1%22%
N.E.C. Nijmegen win12%73%<1%13%
Draw4%52%<1%22%
Levski Sofia win2%38%2%46%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

Frequently asked questions

Who is favourite in N.E.C. Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

The model gives N.E.C. Nijmegen a 55% chance of winning. A draw has a 24% chance.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely exact score is 1–0 (12%), followed by 1–1 (11%).

What does this match mean for N.E.C. Nijmegen?

N.E.C. Nijmegen currently have a 61% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.

When is N.E.C. Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia played?

Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 2).

Other matchday 2 fixtures