AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer-Sheva: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
The model gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Hapoel Beer-Sheva 18%. AZ Alkmaar's chance of going through is 73% now: a win would take it to 84%, a defeat to 49%. Hapoel Beer-Sheva's chance of going through is 26% now: a win would take it to 52%, a defeat to 18%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| AZ Alkmaar: top 8 | AZ Alkmaar: through | Hapoel Beer-Sheva: top 8 | Hapoel Beer-Sheva: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 11% | 73% | 1% | 26% |
| AZ Alkmaar win | 16% | 84% | <1% | 18% |
| Draw | 5% | 63% | 1% | 29% |
| Hapoel Beer-Sheva win | 3% | 49% | 3% | 52% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer-Sheva?
The model gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% chance of winning. A draw has a 22% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–0 (12%), followed by 2–0 (11%).
What does this match mean for AZ Alkmaar?
AZ Alkmaar currently have a 73% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer-Sheva played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Europa League, matchday 2).
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