Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
The model gives Hoffenheim a 45% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Beşiktaş 29%. Hoffenheim's chance of going through is 64% now: a win would take it to 79%, a defeat to 46%. Beşiktaş's chance of going through is 89% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 82%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Hoffenheim: top 8 | Hoffenheim: through | Beşiktaş: top 8 | Beşiktaş: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 9% | 64% | 29% | 89% |
| Hoffenheim win | 15% | 79% | 18% | 82% |
| Draw | 5% | 59% | 27% | 90% |
| Beşiktaş win | 3% | 46% | 48% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?
The model gives Hoffenheim a 45% chance of winning. A draw has a 26% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (11%).
What does this match mean for Hoffenheim?
Hoffenheim currently have a 64% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş played?
Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
- Benfica – Celtic
- Rennes – OFI Crete