Villarreal vs Napoli: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 21:00
The model gives Villarreal a 36% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Napoli 38%. Villarreal's chance of going through is 62% now: a win would take it to 81%, a defeat to 45%. Napoli's chance of going through is 90% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 82%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Villarreal: top 8 | Villarreal: through | Napoli: top 8 | Napoli: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 62% | 20% | 90% |
| Villarreal win | 9% | 81% | 8% | 82% |
| Draw | 2% | 59% | 14% | 90% |
| Napoli win | 1% | 45% | 35% | 97% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Villarreal vs Napoli?
The model gives Napoli a 38% chance of winning. A draw has a 26% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (13%), followed by 0–1 (10%).
What does this match mean for Villarreal?
Villarreal currently have a 62% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Villarreal vs Napoli played?
Tuesday 13 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP
- Sabah – Slavia Praha
- Arsenal – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United
- Inter – Club Brugge
- Galatasaray – Barcelona
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven
- Viking – Bayern München
- Feyenoord – Como
- LASK – Liverpool
- Roma – Real Madrid
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain
- Real Betis – Porto
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart