Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October, 21:00
The model gives Shakhtar Donetsk a 46% chance of winning, a draw 26% and AEK Athens 28%. Shakhtar Donetsk's chance of going through is 45% now: a win would take it to 63%, a defeat to 25%. AEK Athens's chance of going through is 44% now: a win would take it to 69%, a defeat to 29%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Shakhtar Donetsk: top 8 | Shakhtar Donetsk: through | AEK Athens: top 8 | AEK Athens: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 45% | 2% | 44% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk win | 3% | 63% | <1% | 29% |
| Draw | 1% | 37% | 1% | 43% |
| AEK Athens win | <1% | 25% | 4% | 69% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?
The model gives Shakhtar Donetsk a 46% chance of winning. A draw has a 26% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (11%).
What does this match mean for Shakhtar Donetsk?
Shakhtar Donetsk currently have a 45% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens played?
Wednesday 14 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
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- Sabah – Slavia Praha
- Arsenal – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United
- Inter – Club Brugge
- Galatasaray – Barcelona
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven
- Viking – Bayern München
- Villarreal – Napoli
- Feyenoord – Como
- LASK – Liverpool
- Roma – Real Madrid
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain
- Real Betis – Porto
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart