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Real Betis vs Porto: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October, 21:00

Real Betis9th, 3 pts
–Matchday 2
Porto31st, 0 pts
43%Real Betis win
26%Draw
31%Porto win

The model gives Real Betis a 43% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Porto 31%. Real Betis's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 69%. Porto's chance of going through is 65% now: a win would take it to 84%, a defeat to 51%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Real Betis: top 8Real Betis: throughPorto: top 8Porto: through
Now13%83%5%65%
Real Betis win22%95%1%51%
Draw9%81%3%64%
Porto win4%69%11%84%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%

Frequently asked questions

Who is favourite in Real Betis vs Porto?

The model gives Real Betis a 43% chance of winning. A draw has a 26% chance.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (11%).

What does this match mean for Real Betis?

Real Betis currently have a 83% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.

When is Real Betis vs Porto played?

Wednesday 14 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).

Other matchday 2 fixtures