Lens vs Sporting CP: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 18:45
The model gives Lens a 37% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Sporting CP 37%. Lens's chance of going through is 78% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 65%. Sporting CP's chance of going through is 90% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 83%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Lens: top 8 | Lens: through | Sporting CP: top 8 | Sporting CP: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 11% | 78% | 21% | 90% |
| Lens win | 20% | 92% | 10% | 83% |
| Draw | 7% | 75% | 17% | 90% |
| Sporting CP win | 4% | 65% | 36% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Lens vs Sporting CP?
The model gives Lens a 37% chance of winning. A draw has a 26% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (13%), followed by 1–0 (10%).
What does this match mean for Lens?
Lens currently have a 78% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Lens vs Sporting CP played?
Tuesday 13 October, 18:45 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sabah – Slavia Praha
- Arsenal – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United
- Inter – Club Brugge
- Galatasaray – Barcelona
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven
- Viking – Bayern München
- Villarreal – Napoli
- Feyenoord – Como
- LASK – Liverpool
- Roma – Real Madrid
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain
- Real Betis – Porto
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart