Arsenal vs Lille: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 21:00
The model gives Arsenal a 75% chance of winning, a draw 16% and Lille 9%. Arsenal's top-8 chance is 78% now: a win would take it to 84%, a defeat to 49%. Lille's chance of going through is 45% now: a win would take it to 74%, a defeat to 39%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Arsenal: top 8 | Arsenal: through | Lille: top 8 | Lille: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 78% | >99% | 2% | 45% |
| Arsenal win | 84% | >99% | 1% | 39% |
| Draw | 64% | >99% | 2% | 53% |
| Lille win | 49% | 99% | 7% | 74% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Arsenal vs Lille?
The model gives Arsenal a 75% chance of winning. A draw has a 16% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 2–0 (13%), followed by 1–0 (11%).
What does this match mean for Arsenal?
Arsenal currently have a >99% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Arsenal vs Lille played?
Tuesday 13 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP
- Sabah – Slavia Praha
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United
- Inter – Club Brugge
- Galatasaray – Barcelona
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven
- Viking – Bayern München
- Villarreal – Napoli
- Feyenoord – Como
- LASK – Liverpool
- Roma – Real Madrid
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain
- Real Betis – Porto
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart