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Viking vs Bayern München: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 21:00

Viking30th, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
Bayern München2nd, 3 pts
5%Viking win
12%Draw
83%Bayern München win

The model gives Viking a 5% chance of winning, a draw 12% and Bayern München 83%. Viking's chance of going through is 9% now: a win would take it to 33%, a defeat to 7%. Bayern München's top-8 chance is 84% now: a win would take it to 88%, a defeat to 57%. The most likely score is 0–2 (13%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Viking: top 8Viking: throughBayern München: top 8Bayern München: through
Now<1%9%84%>99%
Viking win<1%33%57%98%
Draw<1%14%70%>99%
Bayern München win<1%7%88%100%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

0–213%
0–312%
0–19%
0–49%
1–28%
1–37%

Frequently asked questions

Who is favourite in Viking vs Bayern München?

The model gives Bayern München a 83% chance of winning. A draw has a 12% chance.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely exact score is 0–2 (13%), followed by 0–3 (12%).

What does this match mean for Viking?

Viking currently have a 9% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.

When is Viking vs Bayern München played?

Tuesday 13 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).

Other matchday 2 fixtures