Galatasaray vs Barcelona: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 21:00
The model gives Galatasaray a 18% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Barcelona 60%. Galatasaray's chance of going through is 41% now: a win would take it to 68%, a defeat to 33%. Barcelona's top-8 chance is 69% now: a win would take it to 80%, a defeat to 46%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Galatasaray: top 8 | Galatasaray: through | Barcelona: top 8 | Barcelona: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1% | 41% | 69% | >99% |
| Galatasaray win | 5% | 68% | 46% | 98% |
| Draw | 1% | 44% | 58% | 99% |
| Barcelona win | <1% | 33% | 80% | 100% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Galatasaray vs Barcelona?
The model gives Barcelona a 60% chance of winning. A draw has a 22% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 0–1 (12%), followed by 0–2 (11%).
What does this match mean for Galatasaray?
Galatasaray currently have a 41% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Galatasaray vs Barcelona played?
Tuesday 13 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP
- Sabah – Slavia Praha
- Arsenal – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United
- Inter – Club Brugge
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven
- Viking – Bayern München
- Villarreal – Napoli
- Feyenoord – Como
- LASK – Liverpool
- Roma – Real Madrid
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain
- Real Betis – Porto
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart