Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 21:00
The model gives Leipzig a 43% chance of winning, a draw 26% and PSV Eindhoven 31%. Leipzig's chance of going through is 51% now: a win would take it to 68%, a defeat to 32%. PSV Eindhoven's chance of going through is 69% now: a win would take it to 86%, a defeat to 55%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Leipzig: top 8 | Leipzig: through | PSV Eindhoven: top 8 | PSV Eindhoven: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 51% | 6% | 69% |
| Leipzig win | 4% | 68% | 2% | 55% |
| Draw | 1% | 44% | 5% | 70% |
| PSV Eindhoven win | <1% | 32% | 13% | 86% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
The model gives Leipzig a 43% chance of winning. A draw has a 26% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (11%).
What does this match mean for Leipzig?
Leipzig currently have a 51% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven played?
Tuesday 13 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP
- Sabah – Slavia Praha
- Arsenal – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United
- Inter – Club Brugge
- Galatasaray – Barcelona
- Viking – Bayern München
- Villarreal – Napoli
- Feyenoord – Como
- LASK – Liverpool
- Roma – Real Madrid
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain
- Real Betis – Porto
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart