Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October, 21:00
The model gives Aston Villa a 59% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Fenerbahçe 18%. Aston Villa's chance of going through is 96% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 88%. Fenerbahçe's chance of going through is 61% now: a win would take it to 84%, a defeat to 51%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Aston Villa: top 8 | Aston Villa: through | Fenerbahçe: top 8 | Fenerbahçe: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 36% | 96% | 4% | 61% |
| Aston Villa win | 47% | 99% | 2% | 51% |
| Draw | 24% | 94% | 4% | 67% |
| Fenerbahçe win | 16% | 88% | 12% | 84% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?
The model gives Aston Villa a 59% chance of winning. A draw has a 22% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–0 (12%), followed by 2–0 (11%).
What does this match mean for Aston Villa?
Aston Villa currently have a 96% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe played?
Wednesday 14 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP
- Sabah – Slavia Praha
- Arsenal – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United
- Inter – Club Brugge
- Galatasaray – Barcelona
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven
- Viking – Bayern München
- Villarreal – Napoli
- Feyenoord – Como
- LASK – Liverpool
- Roma – Real Madrid
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain
- Real Betis – Porto
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart