Knockout Math
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What does Slavia Praha need to go through in the Champions League?

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Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 1, Slavia Praha are 22nd with 0 points. Next match: 13 October, away against Sabah. In our simulations Slavia Praha go through (24th place or better) in 22% of cases and make the top 8 in <1%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Villarreal (matchday 5) and Fenerbahçe (matchday 3): each result moves the chances by about 30 percentage points.

22ndleague position
0point from 1 match
22%chance of going through (top 24)
<1%chance of making the top 8

15,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 34th, average 28.7.

Slavia Praha matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Thursday 10 September, 21:00
    HomeLens2–3
    Win 34%, draw 26%, defeat 39%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Tuesday 13 October, 18:45
    AwaySabah –
    Win 52%, draw 25%, defeat 23%
    Chance of going through:If they win31%If they draw13%If they lose8%
  3. Matchday 3Tuesday 20 October, 18:45
    AwayFenerbahçe –
    Win 23%, draw 24%, defeat 53%
    Chance of going through:If they win44%If they draw21%If they lose12%
  4. Matchday 4Wednesday 4 November, 21:00
    HomeArsenal –
    Win 12%, draw 18%, defeat 70%
    Chance of going through:If they win48%If they draw26%If they lose16%
  5. Matchday 5Wednesday 25 November, 18:45
    HomeVillarreal –
    Win 29%, draw 26%, defeat 45%
    Chance of going through:If they win40%If they draw18%If they lose11%
  6. Matchday 6Tuesday 8 December, 21:00
    AwayBayern München –
    Win 5%, draw 11%, defeat 84%
    Chance of going through:If they win55%If they draw28%If they lose19%
  7. Matchday 7Tuesday 19 January, 21:00
    AwayPorto –
    Win 18%, draw 22%, defeat 60%
    Chance of going through:If they win48%If they draw23%If they lose13%
  8. Matchday 8Wednesday 27 January, 21:00
    HomeAston Villa –
    Win 23%, draw 25%, defeat 52%
    Chance of going through:If they win43%If they draw20%If they lose13%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Slavia Praha collect in the league phase.

00%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
7<1%
813%
959%
1097%
11100%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16unlikely
17unlikely
18unlikely
19unlikely
20unlikely
21unlikely
22unlikely
23unlikely
24unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Slavia Praha finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Champions League table

The current table. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Paris Saint-Germain399%
  2. 2Bayern München3>99%
  3. 3Barcelona399%
  4. 4Manchester United386%
  5. 5Como378%
  6. 6Sporting CP389%
  7. 7Stuttgart388%
  8. 8Manchester City398%
  9. 9Real Betis381%
  10. 10Lens376%
  11. 11Aston Villa395%
  12. 12Borussia Dortmund395%
  13. 13Real Madrid3>99%
  14. 14Liverpool3>99%
  15. 15Arsenal3>99%
  16. 16AEK Athens342%
  17. 17Roma174%
  18. 18Shakhtar Donetsk144%
  19. 19Fenerbahçe159%
  20. 20PSV Eindhoven166%
  21. 21Villarreal063%
  22. 22Slavia Praha022%
  23. 23Club Brugge036%
  24. 24Lille047%
  25. 25Atlético de Madrid089%
  26. 26Inter095%
  27. 27LASK011%
  28. 28Napoli090%
  29. 29Galatasaray045%
  30. 30Viking010%
  31. 31Porto067%
  32. 32Leipzig057%
  33. 33Feyenoord048%
  34. 34Sabah02%
  35. 35Slovan Bratislava011%
  36. 36Bodø/Glimt041%

How the league phase works

The Champions League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Other Champions League teams