What does Nordsjælland need to go through in the Conference League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Nordsjælland will play 6 league-phase matches, 3 at home and 3 away. First match: 15 October, away against Hearts. In our simulations Nordsjælland go through (24th place or better) in 72% of cases and make the top 8 in 17%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against KuPS Kuopio (matchday 6) and CSKA Sofia (matchday 2): each result moves the chances by about 37 percentage points.

–league position (not started yet)

0points from 0 matches

72%chance of going through (top 24)

17%chance of making the top 8

15,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 22nd, average 18.2.

Nordsjælland matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 21:00

AwayHearts –

Win 33%, draw 26%, defeat 41%

Chance of going through:If they win89%If they draw71%If they lose59%
Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 18:45

HomeCSKA Sofia –

Win 51%, draw 25%, defeat 24%

Chance of going through:If they win86%If they draw64%If they lose51%
Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 21:00

AwayMonaco –

Win 15%, draw 21%, defeat 64%

Chance of going through:If they win92%If they draw78%If they lose65%
Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 21:00

HomePanathinaikos –

Win 41%, draw 26%, defeat 33%

Chance of going through:If they win88%If they draw69%If they lose55%
Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 21:00

AwayHajduk Split –

Win 33%, draw 26%, defeat 41%

Chance of going through:If they win90%If they draw72%If they lose58%
Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00

HomeKuPS Kuopio –

Win 55%, draw 24%, defeat 21%

Chance of going through:If they win85%If they draw62%If they lose48%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Nordsjælland collect in the league phase.

0unlikely

10%

20%

30%

40%

5<1%

619%

781%

8>99%

9100%

10100%

11100%

12100%

13100%

14100%

15100%

16100%

17unlikely

18unlikely

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Nordsjælland finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Projected Conference League table

The league phase has not started yet, so teams are ordered by their average projected position. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

1Atalanta>99%
2Brighton96%
3Monaco95%
4Freiburg94%
5Midtjylland92%
6Copenhagen92%
7Braga91%
8Getafe92%
9Twente89%
10Crvena Zvezda87%
11Ajax84%
12Gent82%
13Trabzonspor79%
14Aarhus79%
15Mjällby78%
16Brann75%
17Panathinaikos74%
18Nordsjælland72%
19Hajduk Split71%
20Sint-Truidense67%
21Hearts66%
22Universitatea Craiova66%
23Lugano65%
24Pafos55%
25CSKA Sofia53%
26Riga FC53%
27Jablonec49%
28Thun48%
29KuPS Kuopio47%
30Kairat Almaty43%
31Egnatia40%
32Kauno Žalgiris40%
33Borac35%
34Iberia Tbilisi26%
35Inter Escaldes12%
36Lincoln Red Imps11%

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.