What does Freiburg need to go through in the Conference League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Freiburg will play 6 league-phase matches, 3 at home and 3 away. First match: 15 October, at home against Jablonec. In our simulations Freiburg go through (24th place or better) in 94% of cases and make the top 8 in 51%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations). The biggest matches are against Kauno Žalgiris (matchday 6) and Panathinaikos (matchday 5): each result moves the chances by about 15 percentage points.

–league position (not started yet)

0points from 0 matches

94%chance of going through (top 24)

51%chance of making the top 8

15,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 2nd, average 10.2.

Freiburg matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 21:00

HomeJablonec –

Win 72%, draw 17%, defeat 11%

Chance of going through:If they win97%If they draw90%If they lose81%
Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 21:00

AwayMonaco –

Win 30%, draw 26%, defeat 44%

Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw95%If they lose91%
Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 18:45

AwayTrabzonspor –

Win 45%, draw 26%, defeat 29%

Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw94%If they lose89%
Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 21:00

HomeTwente –

Win 58%, draw 23%, defeat 19%

Chance of going through:If they win98%If they draw93%If they lose86%
Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 18:45

HomePanathinaikos –

Win 61%, draw 22%, defeat 17%

Chance of going through:If they win98%If they draw92%If they lose85%
Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00

AwayKauno Žalgiris –

Win 63%, draw 21%, defeat 16%

Chance of going through:If they win98%If they draw91%If they lose83%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Freiburg collect in the league phase.

0unlikely

1unlikely

2unlikely

30%

40%

51%

625%

790%

8>99%

9100%

10100%

11100%

12100%

13100%

14100%

15100%

16100%

17unlikely

18100%

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Freiburg finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Projected Conference League table

The league phase has not started yet, so teams are ordered by their average projected position. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.