What does KuPS Kuopio need to go through in the Conference League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

KuPS Kuopio will play 6 league-phase matches, 3 at home and 3 away. First match: 15 October, at home against Trabzonspor. In our simulations KuPS Kuopio go through (24th place or better) in 47% of cases and make the top 8 in 6%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Borac (matchday 2) and CSKA Sofia (matchday 5): each result moves the chances by about 41 percentage points.

–league position (not started yet)

0points from 0 matches

47%chance of going through (top 24)

6%chance of making the top 8

15,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 33rd, average 23.8.

KuPS Kuopio matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 18:45

HomeTrabzonspor –

Win 29%, draw 26%, defeat 45%

Chance of going through:If they win72%If they draw45%If they lose33%
Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 21:00

AwayBorac –

Win 35%, draw 26%, defeat 38%

Chance of going through:If they win70%If they draw44%If they lose29%
Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 18:45

HomeGent –

Win 28%, draw 26%, defeat 46%

Chance of going through:If they win72%If they draw48%If they lose33%
Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 21:00

AwayBraga –

Win 14%, draw 20%, defeat 67%

Chance of going through:If they win78%If they draw53%If they lose40%
Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 18:45

HomeCSKA Sofia –

Win 40%, draw 26%, defeat 34%

Chance of going through:If they win68%If they draw42%If they lose29%
Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00

AwayNordsjælland –

Win 21%, draw 24%, defeat 55%

Chance of going through:If they win75%If they draw52%If they lose35%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points KuPS Kuopio collect in the league phase.

00%

10%

20%

30%

40%

51%

616%

776%

8>99%

9100%

10100%

11100%

12100%

13100%

14100%

15100%

16unlikely

17unlikely

18unlikely

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could KuPS Kuopio finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Projected Conference League table

The league phase has not started yet, so teams are ordered by their average projected position. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

1Atalanta99%
2Brighton96%
3Monaco95%
4Freiburg94%
5Midtjylland93%
6Copenhagen92%
7Braga91%
8Getafe91%
9Twente89%
10Crvena Zvezda88%
11Ajax84%
12Gent82%
13Trabzonspor79%
14Aarhus79%
15Mjällby78%
16Brann74%
17Panathinaikos75%
18Nordsjælland72%
19Hajduk Split71%
20Sint-Truidense67%
21Hearts66%
22Universitatea Craiova66%
23Lugano66%
24Pafos56%
25CSKA Sofia53%
26Riga FC53%
27Jablonec50%
28Thun48%
29KuPS Kuopio47%
30Kairat Almaty44%
31Kauno Žalgiris40%
32Egnatia40%
33Borac35%
34Iberia Tbilisi25%
35Inter Escaldes13%
36Lincoln Red Imps11%

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.