What does Kauno Žalgiris need to go through in the Conference League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Kauno Žalgiris will play 6 league-phase matches, 3 at home and 3 away. First match: 15 October, away against Brighton. In our simulations Kauno Žalgiris go through (24th place or better) in 40% of cases and make the top 8 in 4%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Riga (matchday 4) and Egnatia (matchday 5): each result moves the chances by about 40 percentage points.

–league position (not started yet)

0points from 0 matches

40%chance of going through (top 24)

4%chance of making the top 8

15,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 32nd, average 25.2.

Kauno Žalgiris matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 21:00

AwayBrighton –

Win 7%, draw 14%, defeat 79%

Chance of going through:If they win76%If they draw51%If they lose35%
Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 18:45

HomeBrann –

Win 33%, draw 26%, defeat 41%

Chance of going through:If they win64%If they draw37%If they lose23%
Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 21:00

AwayLugano –

Win 21%, draw 24%, defeat 55%

Chance of going through:If they win69%If they draw42%If they lose28%
Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 18:45

HomeRiga –

Win 43%, draw 26%, defeat 31%

Chance of going through:If they win60%If they draw33%If they lose19%
Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 21:00

AwayEgnatia –

Win 35%, draw 26%, defeat 38%

Chance of going through:If they win63%If they draw36%If they lose23%
Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00

HomeFreiburg –

Win 16%, draw 21%, defeat 63%

Chance of going through:If they win70%If they draw46%If they lose31%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Kauno Žalgiris collect in the league phase.

00%

10%

20%

30%

40%

51%

613%

771%

8>99%

9100%

10100%

11100%

12100%

13100%

14unlikely

15100%

16unlikely

17unlikely

18unlikely

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Kauno Žalgiris finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Projected Conference League table

The league phase has not started yet, so teams are ordered by their average projected position. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

1Atalanta99%
2Brighton96%
3Monaco95%
4Freiburg94%
5Midtjylland92%
6Copenhagen92%
7Getafe91%
8Braga91%
9Twente89%
10Crvena Zvezda88%
11Ajax84%
12Gent81%
13Trabzonspor79%
14Aarhus79%
15Mjällby78%
16Brann75%
17Panathinaikos75%
18Hajduk Split71%
19Nordsjælland71%
20Sint-Truidense66%
21Hearts66%
22Universitatea Craiova67%
23Lugano64%
24Pafos55%
25CSKA Sofia53%
26Riga FC53%
27Jablonec50%
28Thun49%
29KuPS Kuopio47%
30Kairat Almaty43%
31Kauno Žalgiris40%
32Egnatia40%
33Borac36%
34Iberia Tbilisi26%
35Inter Escaldes12%
36Lincoln Red Imps11%

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.