What does Mjällby need to go through in the Conference League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Mjällby will play 6 league-phase matches, 3 at home and 3 away. First match: 15 October, at home against Inter Escaldes. In our simulations Mjällby go through (24th place or better) in 78% of cases and make the top 8 in 20%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest match is the matchday 3 game at home against Borac: winning or losing it moves the chances by 32 percentage points.

–league position (not started yet)

0points from 0 matches

78%chance of going through (top 24)

20%chance of making the top 8

15,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 11th, average 16.9.

Mjällby matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 18:45

HomeInter Escaldes –

Win 67%, draw 20%, defeat 14%

Chance of going through:If they win87%If they draw66%If they lose54%
Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 18:45

AwayIberia Tbilisi –

Win 43%, draw 26%, defeat 31%

Chance of going through:If they win91%If they draw75%If they lose62%
Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 18:45

HomeBorac –

Win 55%, draw 24%, defeat 21%

Chance of going through:If they win90%If they draw70%If they lose58%
Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 16:30

AwayKairat Almaty –

Win 35%, draw 26%, defeat 38%

Chance of going through:If they win94%If they draw78%If they lose64%
Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 21:00

HomePafos –

Win 43%, draw 26%, defeat 31%

Chance of going through:If they win91%If they draw76%If they lose62%
Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00

AwayAtalanta –

Win 8%, draw 14%, defeat 78%

Chance of going through:If they win96%If they draw86%If they lose75%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Mjällby collect in the league phase.

0unlikely

10%

20%

30%

40%

5<1%

620%

783%

8>99%

9100%

10100%

11100%

12100%

13100%

14100%

15100%

16100%

17unlikely

18unlikely

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Mjällby finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Projected Conference League table

The league phase has not started yet, so teams are ordered by their average projected position. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.