Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
The model gives Brighton a 79% chance of winning, a draw 14% and Kauno Žalgiris 7%. Brighton's chance of going through is 96% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 84%. Kauno Žalgiris's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 73%, a defeat to 35%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Brighton: top 8 | Brighton: through | Kauno Žalgiris: top 8 | Kauno Žalgiris: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 58% | 96% | 4% | 40% |
| Brighton win | 65% | 98% | 2% | 35% |
| Draw | 38% | 91% | 5% | 49% |
| Kauno Žalgiris win | 27% | 84% | 16% | 73% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
The model gives Brighton a 79% chance of winning. A draw has a 14% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 2–0 (13%), followed by 3–0 (11%).
What does this match mean for Brighton?
Brighton currently have a 96% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris played?
Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Conference League, matchday 1).
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