Egnatia vs Midtjylland: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
The model gives Egnatia a 19% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Midtjylland 58%. Egnatia's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 70%, a defeat to 28%. Midtjylland's chance of going through is 92% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 80%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Egnatia: top 8 | Egnatia: through | Midtjylland: top 8 | Midtjylland: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 40% | 47% | 92% |
| Egnatia win | 12% | 70% | 22% | 80% |
| Draw | 3% | 44% | 35% | 89% |
| Midtjylland win | 1% | 28% | 60% | 97% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Egnatia vs Midtjylland?
The model gives Midtjylland a 58% chance of winning. A draw has a 23% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 0–1 (12%), followed by 1–1 (11%).
What does this match mean for Egnatia?
Egnatia currently have a 40% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Egnatia vs Midtjylland played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Conference League, matchday 1).
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