Sint-Truidense vs Iberia Tbilisi: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
The model gives Sint-Truidense a 61% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Iberia Tbilisi 17%. Sint-Truidense's chance of going through is 67% now: a win would take it to 79%, a defeat to 40%. Iberia Tbilisi's chance of going through is 25% now: a win would take it to 53%, a defeat to 17%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Sint-Truidense: top 8 | Sint-Truidense: through | Iberia Tbilisi: top 8 | Iberia Tbilisi: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 13% | 67% | 2% | 25% |
| Sint-Truidense win | 19% | 79% | 1% | 17% |
| Draw | 6% | 55% | 2% | 29% |
| Iberia Tbilisi win | 3% | 40% | 6% | 53% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Sint-Truidense vs Iberia Tbilisi?
The model gives Sint-Truidense a 61% chance of winning. A draw has a 22% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–0 (12%), followed by 2–0 (11%).
What does this match mean for Sint-Truidense?
Sint-Truidense currently have a 67% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Sint-Truidense vs Iberia Tbilisi played?
Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda
- Hajduk Split – Ajax
- Gent – Aarhus
- Egnatia – Midtjylland
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes
- Panathinaikos – Borac
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe
- Atalanta – Pafos
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris
- Copenhagen – Braga
- Twente – Thun
- Hearts – Nordsjælland
- Freiburg – Jablonec
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps