Copenhagen vs Braga: what's at stake in the Conference League?
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Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
The model gives Copenhagen a 41% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Braga 33%. Copenhagen's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 83%. Braga's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 86%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Copenhagen: top 8 | Copenhagen: through | Braga: top 8 | Braga: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 44% | 91% | 42% | 91% |
| Copenhagen win | 64% | 98% | 26% | 86% |
| Draw | 37% | 91% | 38% | 92% |
| Braga win | 23% | 83% | 66% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Copenhagen vs Braga?
The model gives Copenhagen a 41% chance of winning. A draw has a 26% chance.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (13%), followed by 1–0 (10%).
What does this match mean for Copenhagen?
Copenhagen currently have a 91% chance of going through. A win or a defeat changes that significantly, and the exact figures are in the table on this page.
When is Copenhagen vs Braga played?
Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Other matchday 1 fixtures
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- Gent – Aarhus
- Egnatia – Midtjylland
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes
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- CSKA Sofia – Monaco
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- Twente – Thun
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